Featured entries from our Journal

Signal vs. Noise: Stock Market Concentration Concerns

A New Book, A Familiar Message: Stay Calm

The Freedom to Choose What Comes Next

Living Our Values: Reflections From Hill’s 2026 Summer Interns

The Player or the House?

Category: Timely Topic

Signal vs. Noise: Stock Market Concentration Concerns

sketch image of signal tower

Stop me if you’ve heard this before: The stock market is at record concentration levels. A handful of companies are driving market returns. There’s an AI bubble. FAANG stocks. The Magnificent Seven.

The names change, but the message is familiar. Today, much of the attention is focused on a handful of large technology companies at the center of the AI boom. Their strong performance has made them increasingly influential in the U.S. stock market, and the headlines can make it feel like investors need to do something about it.

The concentration is real. But before reacting to it, an evidence-based investor should step back, put on their Long View lens, and ask a more useful question: What does this actually mean for my portfolio?

The S&P 500 Has Become More Concentrated

Concentration, in investing terms, refers to how much of a portfolio is allocated to a particular stock, sector, country, or other category.

By almost any measure, the S&P 500 is considerably more concentrated today than it was a decade ago:

Portfolio Largest Sector Weight Top Ten Companies Weight
S&P 500 Technology – 38% 38%
S&P 500 – 10 years ago Technology – 20% 19%

Data as of June 30, 2026; June 30, 2016 for historical S&P 500.

That matters because concentration makes a portfolio more dependent on a smaller number of outcomes. When a handful of companies represent a large portion of your portfolio, unexpected news that changes the market’s expectations for those companies can have an outsized impact on your results.

But there is an important distinction: the S&P 500 is not your portfolio.


 

A Global Portfolio Looks Different

Hill Investment Group portfolios aren’t built around the 500 largest companies in a single country. They are built globally, with exposure to more than 14,000 companies across 47 countries.

That changes the picture meaningfully:

Portfolio Largest Sector Weight Top Ten Companies Weight
S&P 500 Technology – 38% 38%
HIG Global Portfolio Technology – 28% 22%

Data as of June 30, 2026.

Global diversification naturally reduces the portfolio’s dependence on any single company, sector, or country. The companies driving today’s U.S. market concentration are still there—we own them too—but they represent a smaller portion of the overall portfolio.

Diversification doesn’t mean avoiding the biggest or most successful companies. It means not making your financial future overly dependent on them.

If today’s technology leaders continue to thrive, HIG portfolios participate in that growth. If leadership shifts to different companies, sectors, or countries, we own those too. We don’t need to predict which outcome will occur.

HIG portfolios look much more like the global economy, deviating only when the evidence suggests that doing so can improve expected outcomes for investors.

Built for This Already

Your plan isn’t changing, because it doesn’t need to. Headlines about market concentration can make it feel like investors need to respond to something new. Diversification is one of the oldest ideas in evidence-based investing, and your portfolio has been built for markets like this one since the day we put it together.

Your portfolio includes thousands of companies across developed and emerging markets, large and small, spanning every sector of the global economy. It also leans toward companies with characteristics the evidence associates with higher expected returns: smaller companies, lower relative prices, and stronger profitability.

That structure isn’t designed around today’s headlines. It’s designed for a future we can’t predict.
When one part of the market performs particularly well, the portfolio systematically rebalances rather than allowing yesterday’s winners to dictate tomorrow’s allocation. When market leadership changes, the portfolio already owns the companies positioned to benefit.

That concentration story is real. It’s just about a portfolio built differently than yours.


Hill Investment Group Partners, LLC (HIG) is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. The information in this publication is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Nothing contained herein should be construed as individualized investment, tax, or financial advice. Always consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed.
Investments involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Future returns may differ significantly from past returns due to market and economic conditions, among other factors.

Beyond the Portfolio: Paving the Way for the Next Generation

image of two men sitting on stools talking with a play button over the top
Click the image above to view Part 1 of the story of West Contracting with Larry West and Chris West.

The best part of our work is the relationships we build with our clients. This series celebrates those relationships by highlighting the interesting people behind the portfolios. This spring, several members of our team had the opportunity to visit Larry West at his remarkable Route 66 Museum, Campbell’s Service, in Pacific, Missouri.

What began as Larry’s appreciation for America’s “Mother Road” has grown into an incredible collection of vintage service station memorabilia and Route 66 treasures, all thoughtfully displayed in a restored building along Historic Route 66. The museum is a labor of love, filled with carefully curated signs, gas pumps, and artifacts. Walking through the museum feels less like visiting a collection and more like stepping back into a piece of American history.

That same commitment is evident in their family business, West Contracting. Founded in 1956 by Larry’s parents, Norman and Mary West, the company has grown from a small family business into one of Missouri’s leading paving contractors. For nearly 70 years, the West family has helped build the roads that connect our communities, while earning a reputation for hard work, integrity, and putting relationships first.

This year, West Contracting reached another exciting milestone as the company celebrated its 70th anniversary. As part of the celebration, Larry sat down with his son, Chris, to reflect on the company’s history, the lessons learned over the decades, and what it means to prepare the next generation to carry the business forward. Their conversation wasn’t just about construction—it was about family, leadership, and leaving things better than you found them.

 View Part 1 here. 
 View Part 2 here.

At Hill Investment Group, our motto is Take the Long View. While we often think about that in terms of investing, it’s just as meaningful when we see clients who have spent decades building businesses, preserving history, and investing in future generations.

Larry and Kathleen have done all three.

We’re grateful they welcomed us into a place that’s so personal to them, and we’re even more grateful to know them as clients and friends.

Free Money from Uncle Sam for your Baby’s Retirement

a woman holding a baby and smiling
Nell Schiffer and her baby Merrill
Trump Accounts Are Live. Here’s Our Take.

When Congress creates a new savings account, there’s usually a lot of excitement, a lot of headlines, and eventually a lot of confusion. Trump Accounts are no different.

Our view is pretty simple: If your family qualifies for the free $1,000, take it.
After that, pause before directing additional savings there. In many cases, we still believe there are better tools available.

What is a Trump Account?

A Trump Account is a new tax-advantaged investment account for children under age 18. The investments are intentionally simple: low cost, broadly diversified U.S. stock index funds.

Children born between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2028, who meet the eligibility requirements, may receive a one-time $1,000 contribution from the federal government. Family members can also make annual contributions, subject to contribution limits.

Who should pay attention?

If you have:
• A child born between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2028 (like me)
• A grandchild in that age range
• A niece or nephew whose parents may not have heard about the program

It’s worth making sure someone claims the government’s contribution.

Our Perspective

This is where we think it’s helpful to separate the headline from the planning.
The headline is the free $1,000. The planning question is whether this should become your primary savings vehicle. For most families, our answer is no. If your goal is education, a 529 plan is often the better choice. If your goal is flexible gifting, a custodial or trust investment account may provide greater flexibility. If your goal is retirement, maximizing your own retirement accounts is frequently the highest impact decision you can make. Trump Accounts are another tool, not a replacement for the others.

One Interesting Planning Opportunity

One feature we do like is that these accounts eventually transition into something that functions much like a Traditional IRA.

That creates the possibility of converting the account to a Roth IRA during early adulthood, when many young adults have relatively little taxable income. Decades of tax-free growth after a low tax Roth conversion could make that initial $1,000 much more valuable over a lifetime. It is too early to know exactly how often this strategy will make sense, but it is an opportunity we will be watching closely.

The Bottom Line

At Hill, we don’t chase headlines.
We look for opportunities to make small, intelligent decisions that compound over decades.
For eligible families, claiming a free $1,000 is one of those decisions.

How to Open a Trump Account

If you have a child or grandchild who may be eligible, here’s how to get started.

Step 1: Confirm eligibility.

Children born between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2028, who are U.S. citizens with a valid Social Security number, may qualify for the government’s $1,000 contribution.

Step 2: Complete the enrollment process.

Parents or legal guardians will need to complete the required enrollment through the IRS and Treasury’s Trump Account program. If your child is eligible, this establishes their ability to receive the government’s contribution.

Step 3: Activate the account.
Once eligibility has been verified, you’ll activate the account through an approved provider. The Treasury will then deposit the $1,000 for eligible children, and family members can begin making additional contributions if they choose.
As with many new government programs, the rollout is still evolving. We expect additional financial institutions to begin offering Trump Accounts over time, making the process even more straightforward.

Helpful Resources
• IRS Trump Accounts page for eligibility requirements, FAQs, and enrollment information.
TrumpAccounts.gov for program updates, participating providers, and account activation instructions.
Recommended reading from the New York Times on this topic (free NYT gift link, available for a limited time)

If you have questions about whether a Trump Account fits into your family’s broader financial plan, we’re here for you.

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Featured entries from our Journal

Signal vs. Noise: Stock Market Concentration Concerns

A New Book, A Familiar Message: Stay Calm

The Freedom to Choose What Comes Next

Living Our Values: Reflections From Hill’s 2026 Summer Interns

The Player or the House?

Hill Investment Group