When Opening Day arrives, it brings optimism, but there is also a familiar temptation: to focus on what’s happening now instead of what actually matters over time.

I find myself returning to the ideas of Michael Lewis, not just his iconic baseball book Moneyball, but also his recent appearance on the Acquired podcast. The common thread isn’t baseball. It’s perspective.

Moneyball wasn’t really about baseball statistics—it was about seeing differently. The Oakland A’s, constrained by budget, were forced to challenge conventional wisdom. They stopped paying for what was visible (batting averages, body type, “intangibles”) and instead paid for what actually drove outcomes but was underappreciated (on-base percentage). In short: they exploited inefficiency.

In his Acquired conversation, Lewis reflects on a similar dynamic across industries—how markets, people, and institutions repeatedly misprice what truly matters. The lesson isn’t just about being contrarian. It’s about being patient enough to let the truth play out.

That’s where “taking the longview” comes in.

In investing, as in baseball, the scoreboard updates constantly, but the real game unfolds over seasons (even generations!), not innings. Short-term noise is seductive and sometimes scary. It feels actionable. But it’s often just that: noise. The discipline is in identifying what actually compounds over time and then having the temperament to stick with it when it’s temporarily out of favor.

For our clients, that translates into something simple but difficult: staying invested in what works, even when it temporarily doesn’t feel like it. That’s what we’re doing every day. Helping our clients maintain the behavior that pays off in the long term.

The genius of Moneyball wasn’t the data. It was the willingness to endure looking wrong in the short term to be right over the long term. That’s really hard to do!

At Hill Investment Group, that’s the game we’re playing. Not predicting the next pitch, but building a process that wins over full seasons…full lifetimes.

In the end, the real advantage—whether in baseball or investing—isn’t speed. It’s clarity, patience, and the discipline to let time do the heavy lifting. Thank you for taking the long view with us.

If you’d like a new copy of Odds On (The Moneyball of investing) or want to gift it to a friend or family member, click here. We’re happy to share how it just might transform someone’s future and those that come after them.

If you’re feeling pulled around by headlines, Odds On was written for moments like this. It’s a reminder that better decisions come from a clear process, not a hot take.

Start with the Intro to Odds On. We’re sharing it as a short PDF, linked below, so you can get a quick taste of the book, or re-read it as a reset when you need one.

Our suggestion: Read the first sentence. Then read it again slowly. Think about it for a minute. Read it one more time. Then dig in. See where the journey takes you. Many others have found the read transformational. Please share your experience!

Read the Odds On Intro 

If you’d like a full copy, we’re happy to send one to you or to someone in your life you’d like to share it with. Physical book, Kindle, or audio. Your choice.

Request Odds On

If you want to talk more about how to put the philosophy into action, email Buddy directly at buddy@hillinvestmentgroup.com. We’ll help you apply these ideas to your situation and map a clear next step.

We are pleased to formally introduce Sarah Larsen, our Executive Operations Lead at HIG.

Many of you may have already interacted with Sarah. Over the past year, she has supported our team in a part time capacity and has recently joined us full time as the operational and organizational backbone of the firm.

Sarah’s work spans executive support, people operations, finance, and firm administration. Her role is designed to help our leadership and advisory team stay focused on what matters most: serving you well, thoughtfully, and consistently.

As part of our recent expansion of service hours, you may hear Sarah’s voice if you call later in the day. Her presence helps ensure that when you reach out to Hill, there is a steady, capable person on the other end who knows our team and how we work.

Sarah brings more than eight years of experience running her own administrative support business, following an earlier chapter in advertising. While she enjoyed building and leading her own firm, she was drawn to HIG’s culture, values, and people. When I approached her about stepping into a full time role, it felt like a natural fit and the right place for her to do her best work.

Known for her curiosity and can-do mindset, Sarah is a lifelong learner who is not afraid to jump in, figure things out, and move important work forward. Her focus on building strong support systems helps our leadership and advisory teams operate at their best so we can continue delivering thoughtful guidance and strong long-term outcomes for the families we serve.

Based in Seattle, Sarah lives with her husband Patrick, their two children Luke and Piper, and their dog Rosie, a Cavapoo. A California native, she has fully embraced life in the Pacific Northwest, rain included.

We are grateful to have her on the team and excited for the ways her work strengthens the Hill experience for our clients.