What Happens When the Noise Gets Quiet
A few weeks ago, I heard Morgan Housel speak at a conference for top advisors. Many of you may know Morgan from his book, The Psychology of Money, which we often share with clients. We also had him as a guest on my podcast, Take the Long View.
During his talk, Morgan told a story that reminded me of one of my favorite investing lessons.
Everyone knows Warren Buffett. Most people know Charlie Munger. But far fewer people know Rick Guerin.
That’s interesting because Buffett once said Rick was every bit as smart as he and Charlie were. Yet history remembers Buffett and Munger, while most investors have never heard of Rick.
So what happened?
In the early days, Buffett, Munger, and Guerin invested alongside one another. They shared ideas. By all accounts, Rick was an exceptional investor.
But during the brutal bear market of 1973 and 1974, Rick used leverage. He borrowed money to invest. When markets collapsed, margin calls arrived, and he had to sell.
He sold shares to Warren Buffett.
Years later, Buffett explained the difference between them this way:
That is one of the most important investing lessons there is.
The difference was not intelligence. It was not information. It was not access.
It was patience.
Buffett and Munger built their lives and their portfolios in a way that allowed them to stay in the game. Rick could not, or would not, do the same.
That is why I think this story is bigger than investing. It is really about compounding.
Compounding only works if you give it enough time.
That applies to investing. It also applies to building a business, raising a family, improving your health, and developing meaningful friendships and relationships. The biggest rewards often come from years of steady progress that may not look very exciting in the moment.
I have seen that firsthand.
When we started Hill Investment Group in 2005, there was no shortcut. There was no trick. There was simply a commitment to do the right things repeatedly. Serve clients well. Stay disciplined. Keep learning. Think long-term. Allow time to do what time does best.
Now, 21 years later, one of the things I appreciate most is this:
That is true in investing. It is true in business. And I think it is true in life.
The next time markets get noisy, or life gets noisy, I hope you remember the story of Rick Guerin.
Not because he failed, but because his story reminds us that success is often less about brilliance and more about patience.
That is what Taking the Long View is all about.
