Private equity funds, which buy and sell companies not listed on a stock exchange, are increasingly being marketed to individual investors. The pitches promote democratizing investing by giving the average investor access to exclusive deals, huge target returns, and a chance to “invest like an institution.”

Headline returns for these investments often look enticing, but research shows that those returns rarely reflect the actual economic experience of investors. For individual investors, the gap between perception and reality can be significant.

Tradeoffs to Consider

High Fees – Private Equity Funds often charge 2% fees on all assets plus an additional 20% of all profits. This introduces a significant hurdle that few private equity managers can overcome when compared to public equity investments. The funds we use to access public markets have an average fee of 0.2%. One-tenth the fee andno additional performance fee.

Misleading Returns – Internal rate of return (IRR) is commonly used to report private equity returns. However, IRR’s calculation depends heavily on the timing of cash flows to the investor. Private Equity firms can game these numbers by manipulating cash flows, making IRR return numbers not comparable to the return numbers you see from public markets. For example, the hypothetical return stream below has an IRR of 33% but an actual return on capital closer to 3%.

Investors should focus on the overall growth of their wealth, not return figures grounded in misleading return metrics.

Lack of Access/Liquidity – Private Equity funds typically have high investment minimums, long lockups, and capital call contracts that make it difficult for investors to allocate money to more than a handful of funds. This creates challenges in diversifying investments across the private equity industry, decreasing the likelihood of achieving reliable long-term investment outcomes. The lack of diversification turns investing in this asset class closer to gambling than a reliable long-term investment strategy.

An Evidence-Based Alternative

At Hill, we believe wealth is best built through broadly diversified, transparent, and low-cost portfolios that match your personal risk profile. Public markets offer exposure to the same economic engine as private equity – global economic growth and human innovation – without the high fees and illiquidity.

New research from Dimensional Fund Advisors puts the conclusion succinctly:

“Broadly diversified, transparent, and low-cost public market strategies provide investors with reliable access to global equity and credit risk premia – without the costs and opacity of private funds.”

We agree.

The Bottom Line

Private markets are often marketed as a path to superior returns, but the data tells a different story. Historically, once you adjust for fees, misleading returns, and illiquidity, private equity performance looks a lot like public stock market performance – just with more complexity and buzzwords.

The real question here is not whether private equity occasionally succeeds – it does. It’s whether it offers long-term, risk-adjusted, after-fee advantages over public markets.

The evidence suggests: not really.

Performance Disclosure (Hypothetical)
Hypothetical or model performance results, when presented, do not represent actual client performance. Hypothetical results do not reflect the impact of material economic or market factors that would have affected an adviser’s decision-making if managing actual assets. Hypothetical results are for illustrative purposes only and should not be interpreted as guarantees of future performance. Actual client results may differ.

Charts
Charts, graphs, formulas, probability visuals, and other illustrations included in this publication are intended to demonstrate concepts and provide context. They are not intended to be used alone to determine which securities to buy or sell, or when to buy or sell them. These illustrations provide limited information and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.

Matt Zenz appeared on the October 4 podcast episode of Excess Returns to discuss the case for evidence-based investing and the challenges that can accompany scale among the industry’s largest investment firms. He shared how research-driven firms, such as Longview Research Partners apply more nimble strategies to maintain efficiency and align with evidence-based principles.

“HTC” WARNING: Be forewarned, this is Highly Technical Content, best consumed by the heavy-duty fact finders in our audience.

Be sure to listen at the 44:30 mark, where Matt explores the benefits of agility in investing and how smaller, research-focused funds can often make decisions and implement changes more efficiently than larger counterparts.

Hill Investment Group and Longview Research Partners did not compensate the podcast or its hosts for this appearance.

At Hill Investment Group, we’re dedicated to putting the odds for the best possible returns in your favor, leaving no basis point behind. Since every client is unique, the method to accomplishing this goal is multifaceted.  I have talked to dozens of other prominent investment advisors about how they systematically handle these issues for their clients.

The answer I get 90+% of the time is some combination of, “We are not doing X because… it is too much work, clients don’t know the difference, the benefit is small, etc.”. As your fiduciary, that doesn’t sit well with us. Our obligation is to seek the best solutions we can find for our clients…no matter what.

Therefore, at HIG, we’ll continue to pick up the pennies. Over the coming months, we plan to highlight how we do that and what the impact can be on your wealth over time. We will discuss the following topics, starting with the level of cash we hold in our clients’ portfolios.

•   Volume 1 – Keep Cash Balances Low (Better Chance for Higher Returns)
•   Volume 2 – Asset Location (Reduces Taxes)
•   Volume 3 – Using ETFs (Reduces Taxes)
•   Volume 4 – Trading ETFs in Competition (Reduces Trading Costs)
•   Volume 5 – Number of Funds and Not Auto-Reinvesting Dividends (Reduces Trading Costs)
•   Volume 6 – Tax Lots and Tax Loss Harvesting (Reduces Taxes)
•   Volume 7 – Summary (Total Impact)

Most investment advisors and hold between 5-10% of their client’s portfolios in cash for convenience. The “better ones” out there will hold 2-4% cash. Holding a large buffer of cash means the advisor can be a bit lazier in monitoring and trading client portfolios. This buffer comes at a cost. It’s called “cash drag” because, in general, cash doesn’t earn as high a return over time as investing in stocks or bonds. Therefore, for every $1 of cash you hold, there is an opportunity cost… which depending on how much cash you hold, could be massive. 

We don’t want our clients to incur that cost, and thus, HIG keeps cash levels well below 1%, ideally around 0.5% (unless the client has recurring withdrawals). Maintaining cash levels below 1% requires diligence and a commitment to active monitoring. It’s easy to keep a significant amount of cash on hand, but it’s far more challenging—and ultimately rewarding—to deploy those funds into investments that generate meaningful returns.

We want the mutual funds and ETFs we invest in to embody the same approach. The average mutual fund holds between 3-5% cash, causing meaningful cash drag to their investors. The funds we recommend generally keep cash in the 0.1-0.3% range.  By minimizing cash drag in your accounts and in the funds you hold, your portfolio more closely reflects the asset allocation and the corresponding risk profile you set up with us, that we agree to maintain on their behalf.

The impact of reducing cash drag can be significant. On average, stocks outperform cash by 6% annually. This means that an additional 5% in cash could lead to a 0.3% reduction in returns annually. While it might seem like a small fraction, due to compounding, the deficit can accumulate significantly over time. For every $1,000,000 invested, a 6.0% vs 5.7% return over 30 years represents a difference in wealth of ~$450,000.

At Hill Investment Group, our dedication to maximizing returns sets us apart. Our commitment to picking up every basis point is part of a broader philosophy. We understand that the little things, the pennies, add up to create meaningful gains for our clients. Through careful management and a relentless pursuit of opportunities, we believe these small gains will culminate in a substantial increase in overall returns.

Stay tuned for more insights in the coming months as we continue to share how these small gains add up to significantly impact our clients’ portfolios.