Featured entries from our Journal

Signal vs. Noise: Stock Market Concentration Concerns

A New Book, A Familiar Message: Stay Calm

The Freedom to Choose What Comes Next

Living Our Values: Reflections From Hill’s 2026 Summer Interns

The Player or the House?

Category: Planning

Signal vs. Noise: Are Structured Notes Too Good to Be True?

Signal Graphic

Welcome to the age of the “finfluencer.” Some voices bring real experience, many optimize for clicks, not your interests. At Hill Investment Group, we believe good advice should be simple, clear, and grounded in evidence, not hype. This new series examines popular claims circulating online or in print, and separates signal from noise.

We aim to inform, not entertain; substance over speculation.

Heard something at work, on the course, or on social media that has you wondering, “Should I pay attention to this?” Share it with us at zenz@hillinvestmentgroup.com. We will help unpack it. Submissions are confidential. With your permission, we may quote an anonymized version in a future post.

Please note: Submissions are reviewed for educational purposes only and do not constitute personalized investment advice.


This month, I’ve chosen to focus on structured notes because the chatter around them has become especially loud. I get daily emails from people trying to sell them, and they’ve become a hot topic on podcasts.
What Is a Structured Note?

Structured notes—sometimes called structured or derivative products—are contracts issued by banks or financial institutions. Their performance depends on how certain markets behave, but with specific features built in.

For example, a note may be linked to the S&P 500, offering returns up to a maximum (say 9%) while limiting downside risk. If the market declines, you might receive your principal back. If the market rises, your return is capped at the maximum.

These products typically combine bonds with options. The bond portion provides stability or income, while the options alter the return profile with added features such as caps, buffers, or payouts tied to specific outcomes. Importantly, they do not create new investment opportunities; they repackage existing securities in different ways.

How Banks Make Money

Structured products are often designed and priced by the issuing institution. A simple illustration:

  1. Package bonds and options that may be worth slightly less than the purchase price.
  2. Market the package in a way that addresses an investor’s concerns (for example, fear of loss or desire for enhanced returns).
  3. Sell it at a markup.

The difference, though it may look small, represents revenue for the bank. Like insurance, protection, or enhancement features come at a cost, which is reflected in the structure’s design and pricing.

Tradeoffs to Consider

Structured notes are not “free.” For every feature that reduces downside risk, there is typically a tradeoff in the form of reduced upside potential. For example, capping gains in strong years may limit long-term growth.

Other considerations can include:

  • Complexity: The payoff formulas are often difficult to evaluate without specialized knowledge.
  • Liquidity: Notes may be hard to sell before maturity.
  • Taxes: Some structures can create less favorable tax treatment.
  • Transparency: It may be difficult to fully assess all costs and risks.

These factors mean that outcomes may differ significantly from expectations, and actual results depend on market conditions and the structure itself.

An Evidence-Based Alternative

At Hill Investment Group, our philosophy is that portfolios should be built around a client’s unique risk profile using tools that are transparent and cost-efficient. Instead of relying on complex products, we focus on combining equities and high-quality fixed income in a way that is diversified, tax-aware, and grounded in decades of academic research.

This approach does not promise to eliminate risk or guarantee returns. Rather, it seeks to create a risk/return balance that clients can understand and commit to over the long term.

The Bottom Line

Structured notes can sound appealing because they are often presented as solving two problems at once, offering upside with protection on the downside. In practice, they involve tradeoffs that should be carefully weighed. For many investors, a straightforward evidence-based portfolio may provide more transparency and better alignment with long-term goals.


Disclaimer:
Hill Investment Group is an SEC-registered investment adviser. This material is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. References to structured notes or other investment products are for illustrative purposes only and should not be interpreted as a guarantee of outcomes. Please consult your financial, tax, and legal advisors regarding your individual circumstances.

Hey Hill! Help Me Avoid Common Investing Misconceptions

Hey, Hill! Graphic

At Hill Investment Group, we spend our days immersed in markets and evidence. We know most people don’t, and our clients rely on us to do that work for them.

Even the most financially literate investors can encounter misconceptions, often picked up from friends, social media, or the financial press. Many of these are rooted more in behavior and emotion than in evidence.

Here are a few we hear regularly, along with an evidence-based perspective on each.


“Dividends are a gift.”

It can be easy to think of dividends as “free money” from an investment, and some even choose funds solely for their dividend yield. The reality is that when a company pays a dividend, the value of its shares is reduced by the same amount. For example, if you hold a $20 share and it pays a $2 dividend, you now have $2 in cash and a share worth $18—the total value is unchanged.

Companies that reinvest profits into their business sometimes create more long-term growth than those that pay them out. At Hill, we view dividends as one element of total return and often as a way to rebalance portfolios in a tax-efficient manner.

For clients who rely on investments for retirement income, we may help design a withdrawal plan by selling shares. This approach allows:

  • Investment decisions to be based on total return, not dividend yield alone.
  • Greater flexibility to manage tax impact by choosing which holdings to sell.

This can be more tax-efficient than receiving dividends automatically, which are taxable whether you need the income or not.

“Losses are bad.”

No one enjoys seeing an investment go down. But in certain cases, realizing a loss can provide a tax benefit while keeping your long-term plan intact.

For example, tax-loss harvesting involves selling an investment that has declined, capturing the loss to reduce taxes today (or in future years), and reinvesting in a similar security to maintain your portfolio’s strategy.

This doesn’t remove the reality of market downturns, but it can turn them into opportunities for tax management. While individual investors may not do this on their own, professional advisors often monitor for these opportunities as part of portfolio management.

“Only buy U.S. stocks.”

Because U.S. companies are most familiar, many investors lean heavily toward them—sometimes without realizing it. Yet the U.S. represents only about half of the global market, which means there is significant opportunity beyond our borders.

Diversifying globally can help manage risk and position a portfolio to benefit from growth wherever it occurs. History has shown that different markets lead at different times. For example, U.S. stocks lagged from 2000 to 2010 while international markets performed better. In other periods, U.S. stocks have led. Since no one can predict which region will outperform next, broad diversification helps reduce reliance on a single market.

Final Thought

Investing comes with complexity, and misconceptions are common. Our role is to help clients cut through the noise and make evidence-based decisions that support a long-term plan.

If you know someone who might be interested in learning more about this approach, we’re glad to share educational resources or have an introductory conversation. They can reach us at askanadvisor@hillinvestmentgroup.com.


Hill Investment Group is an SEC-registered investment adviser. This material is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. References to services or client experiences should not be construed as a guarantee of future outcomes. For additional information, please refer to our Form ADV, available upon request.

Living the Long View

Nell's Baby
Merrill is happy to lounge on her special blanket, made by a Hill client.

Coming back from maternity leave after welcoming our daughter this spring has reminded me of what our work at Hill is really about: helping clients use their money as a tool to build lives rich in meaning, not just numbers.

Whether you’re navigating new parenthood, approaching retirement, or somewhere in between, the core questions often remain the same: What matters most? And how can your money support that?

Here are a few reflections that have stayed with me through this milestone.

Time Is Our Most Limited Asset

This season has made it clear: time is precious. As the saying goes, the days are long, but the weeks are short. At Hill, we encourage clients to think of time like any other resource, i.e., something to be used intentionally.

Having a baby sharpened my awareness of how valuable time with all generations can be. We’ve prioritized visits and calls with our parents and grandparents, including Merrill. One visual we often share is Tim Urban’s “Your Life in Weeks,” which maps the average lifespan as a grid of boxes, each one a week. Sam Harris captures the feeling well: “It always is later than you think.”

Experiences That Leave a Lasting Impact

One book that’s prompted meaningful reflection is Die With Zero, which invites readers to think intentionally about how they use time, money, and attention. One key idea is the “memory dividend,” that experiences created now continue to bring joy over time.

During our first family trip with Merrill, we bought matching tracksuits for three generations (thankfully not pictured on the cover of this post!). The laughter that moment created has become part of our family story, which is something we’ll carry forward.

When you “eventize” small moments, making them playful, meaningful, or tradition-worthy, you create experiences that stay with you long after the money is spent.

Freedom Through Planning

Taking the Long View isn’t about deferring joy. It’s about aligning today’s choices with your long-term values. For our family, that included investing in a high-quality caregiver–not only to support our daughter’s development, but to give both Walter and me the capacity to continue doing meaningful work. This single decision had ripple effects across our financial plan and peace of mind.

In our experience, thoughtful planning doesn’t restrict you. Instead it creates more space for the things that matter.

The Time to Act Is Now

Watching our daughter grow has been a reminder that certain windows of opportunity are fleeting. Whether it’s a trip you’ve been considering, a gift you’ve meant to give, or simply time with someone you care about, the moment to act may be now.

At Hill, we aim to help you simplify, clarify, and align your financial life so it supports the life you want to live. With a new rhythm, a deeper commitment to this work, and a fresh perspective, I’m more convinced than ever: the best investments are the ones that help us be present, generous, and fully alive.

 

 

DISCLOSURES
This material is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Any third-party books or views referenced reflect the opinions of the individual contributors and do not necessarily represent the views of Hill Investment Group. 
Featured entries from our Journal

Signal vs. Noise: Stock Market Concentration Concerns

A New Book, A Familiar Message: Stay Calm

The Freedom to Choose What Comes Next

Living Our Values: Reflections From Hill’s 2026 Summer Interns

The Player or the House?

Hill Investment Group