Long View Summer Reads
Signal vs. Noise: Great Companies Don’t Always Make for Great Investments. The Evidence Around IPOs.
Beyond the Number
A Book That Changed How I Think About Aging
What Happens When the Noise Gets Quiet
The Ripple Effect

I have Odds On to thank for helping me find my tribe at Hill.
Before Hill, with my engineering background, I had become a total nerd about the data around investing. I was obsessed not just with what the evidence said, but with how to build a firm that could give families the best chance to actually put that evidence to work in their real lives.
What I kept running into was that most firms had one or two of the pieces. They could talk about investing. They could talk about behavior and emotion. They could make clients feel cared for. But very few could do all three at once: evidence, behavior and emotion, and real client care through hospitality. I was looking for the holy grail, the island of idealism.
I wanted a firm that could think rigorously, communicate clearly, and help people stay steady enough to actually live out the plan. To really help clients hold onto what matters when markets, life, and emotions inevitably get messy.
I was also, and still am, a huge podcast listener. As luck would have it, I heard Matt on Radical Personal Finance talking about Odds On and the bigger vision behind Hill. Hearing him lay out his and Rick’s island of idealism, and the way Hill thought about evidence, behavior, and serving clients well, was the click moment for me. Hill was not just a firm I admired from afar. It was the firm I would have built myself if I had already built one.
So I guessed at Matt’s email address, sent him a cold email, and the rest is history. I will always be grateful to Odds On for that, because it led me to Hill, to work I love, and to my people.
Take the long view,
Nell
The Book that Brought Me Here

Since my introduction to Odds On many years ago, I’ve always shared the book as a recommendation for people who want to better understand our industry and the way we think about investing. It feels less like a book and more like a note from a friend, or a story passed along by someone you trust. It’s one of the easiest books I’ve ever read, and it’s stuck with me in a way that not many others have.
When I learned we were doing a newsletter issue all about Odds On, I found myself saying to someone on our team, “You know, it’s funny… I hadn’t really thought about this directly, but the book is actually the reason I’m here at HIG today.”
Before Hill, I worked at Dimensional Fund Advisors, a now $1T+ money manager and the pioneer of evidence-based investing. I met Matt Hall through a new study group we were launching, a group of evidence-based advisors we brought together from around the country who all had an interest and aptitude for media and marketing. Odds On put Matt at the top of our list, and he became one of the founding members of that group.
I had read Odds On in preparation for our first meeting, so I had a sense of Hill and its mission. But it was really through getting to know Matt in that group, hearing how he talked about his purpose, the people he works with, and the way Hill cares for clients, that made both him and the firm stand out.
In my role at DFA, I worked with hundreds of advisory firms across the country. It gave me a unique lens into how firms operate; what they prioritize, how they invest, and how they show up for their clients. Hill always felt different. There was a level of care and intentionality behind each decision, a real desire for clients to feel known and taken care of, and a culture of excellence. The kinds of things every firm likely strives for, but not all are able to truly deliver.
All of that made the decision easy when the opportunity to join Hill came along. I get to do work I love, with people I genuinely enjoy, and care for clients in a way that feels meaningful and aligned with who I am (a caring nerd!).
I don’t think I’d be here today without Odds On. So thank you to Matt for writing it. I doubt finding one of your lead advisors 10 years down the road was top of mind when you sat down to write it, but I’m really glad you did.
The Next Step

If you’re feeling pulled around by headlines, Odds On was written for moments like this. It’s a reminder that better decisions come from a clear process, not a hot take.
Start with the Intro to Odds On. We’re sharing it as a short PDF, linked below, so you can get a quick taste of the book, or re-read it as a reset when you need one.
Our suggestion: Read the first sentence. Then read it again slowly. Think about it for a minute. Read it one more time. Then dig in. See where the journey takes you. Many others have found the read transformational. Please share your experience!
Read the Odds On Intro
If you’d like a full copy, we’re happy to send one to you or to someone in your life you’d like to share it with. Physical book, Kindle, or audio. Your choice.
If you want to talk more about how to put the philosophy into action, email Buddy directly at buddy@hillinvestmentgroup.com. We’ll help you apply these ideas to your situation and map a clear next step.